Public REIT pricing has declined in a steep fashion over the past 22 months.  Although this is not the first time they have had a significant pullback, it is quite rare, as shown in Figure 1.  As recently as March 2020, the drawdown in the FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index (Bloomberg: FNER)* was nearly […]

In October 2023, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of -4.4%. The Chilton REIT Composite outperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of -3.6% gross of fees and -3.7% net of fees. Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total […]

In September 2023, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of -6.8%. The Chilton REIT Composite outperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of -6.4% both gross and net of fees. For the third quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a return of -7.3% gross […]

The drumbeat calling for the fall of office real estate has been steady and unrelenting since REITs peaked on December 31, 2021.  As we reported in our May 2023 Chilton REIT Outlook titled, “Office REITs: Where is the Bottom?” most people are not surprised to hear that office REITs (as measured by the Bloomberg REIT […]

The capital window for commercial real estate has substantially lessened if not virtually closed for all but the best borrowers, just like in the early 1990’s.  In this cycle, property owners that financed with floating rate debt are seeing reduced cash flows, and many have negative cash flow after rising interest expense and other operating […]

It’s no secret the office sector faces extreme stress due to the surge in remote work.  Though there was some progress on return to office (RTO) last fall, technology tenants reversed a multi-year leasing spree while financing risks only added fuel to the decline in 2023.  As a result of the pandemic’s ‘forced experiment’ with […]

In June, 2022, we published ‘The Private Equity Put’, essentially urging all public REIT teams to consider going private at valuations that now most companies would only dream of getting.  Unfortunately, soon after that piece was published, the financing environment changed dramatically for private real estate players.  – While the tombstones may have different names […]

Though the elevator pitch for data centers due to their vital role as the backbone of the internet seems like ‘easy money’, investing in this sector has many more elements to consider other than ‘data creation is growing exponentially’.  Yes, the demand for data storage has been a major growth story for ten years, but […]

Although the change in public REIT equity prices over the past 12 months would not suggest it, 2022 actually saw earnings growth arrive above our initial expectations.  Specifically, occupancy continued its positive trajectory, leading to further upward pressure on rents across nearly every property type.  Additionally, the inflationary pressures helped to slow new construction, creating […]

The Chilton REIT Team descended upon San Francisco in mid-November for a packed three days of meetings with management and property tours.  The annual REITWorld conference is extremely important for us to catch up in person with the CEOs and CFOs of our portfolio companies, ramp up on potential new ideas, connect with peers, and […]