In 2021, REITs produced one of the best calendar year total returns in history, clocking in at +43.1% through December 31 as measured by the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ).  Once again, our forecast missed the actual return by more than 1,000 basis points (or bps).  However, the top end of our forecast at […]

REIT Outlook

January 4, 2022

2022 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2022

It has been exactly one year since we published ‘Essential REIT Evaluation: Retail’, and, looking back on the piece, one could describe it as overly cautious and concerned with the longer term impact of the pandemic on this sector.  However, hindsight is 20/20, and we were working with much different information a year ago.  Just […]

REIT Outlook, Uncategorized

November 9, 2021

Retail REITs: Revisited and Reconsidered | November 2021

It has been two years since we introduced the Chilton Global Real Estate Strategy in the October 2019 Chilton REIT Outlook.  We are proud that the initial concept of a three-pronged approach to alpha production has worked well, and we believe this process will be repeatable going forward.  As of September 28, 2021, the Chilton […]

REIT Outlook

October 1, 2021

Uneven COVID Response Worldwide Creates Opportunity in Global REITs | October 2021

In September, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of -5.5%. The Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of -6.1%, gross and net of fees. In the third quarter, the RMZ produced a total return of +1.0%, which compared to the Chilton REIT Composite […]

REIT Outlook

September 30, 2021

REIT Commentary | September 2021

Healthcare has been squarely in the spotlight since the beginning of the COVID pandemic in February 2020, and rightly so.  While the world may have yet to agree upon an answer for how to properly address or prevent a pandemic, the past 18 months have solidified healthcare as an essential sector of the economy, as […]

REIT Outlook

September 1, 2021

Healthcare REIT Check-up: Ready for a Boost | September 2021

As of July 31, 2021, the MSCI REIT Index has produced a year-to-date total return of +27.7%, which compares to our 2021 forecast of +13% to +19%.  While the actual return exceeds our expectations, we also believe this is not the time to reduce exposure to publicly traded equity REITs.  Since our initial forecast was […]

REIT Outlook

August 1, 2021

The Cycle Is Just Getting Started | August 2021

As we wrote in March 2021, we believed the rotation from growth to value (or COVID to Vaccine) REITs had created a buying opportunity for high quality companies with long term growth potential, such as cell tower REITs.  For example, from November 6, 2020 to March 1, 2021, the average performance for the lodging, regional […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2021

Hidden Vaccine Value in Diversified REITs | July 2021

Unlike most REIT sectors that refer to the real estate’s use or property type, the net lease subsector is the only one that refers to a specific lease structure, which can be used in multiple property types. In a net lease structure, the responsibility to pay certain expenses is shifted from the landlord to the […]

REIT Outlook

June 2, 2021

More to Net Lease REITs than Interest Rates | June 2021

Inflation refers to an economic scenario in which the price of a basket of goods increases, which means the currency is worth less than it was previously.  Economic studies have determined that some inflation is necessary to encourage investment, spending, and borrowing. The alternative scenario, called ‘deflation’, is just the opposite; cash and fixed income […]

REIT Outlook

May 6, 2021

In Case of Inflation, Buy REITs | May 2021

In what we hope was the last virtual Citi REIT CEO Conference, we met with 16 REIT management teams directly and participated in approximately another 20 virtual meetings to discuss the current business fundamentals and what the post-COVID world may look like. In general, the tone at the conference was extremely positive, even for some […]

REIT Outlook

April 1, 2021

Takeaways from the 2021 Citi REIT CEO Conference | April 2021

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