No area of real estate has been under more pressure than the office sector.  We won’t belabor the headwinds – flexible work, tech downsizing, debt maturities, etc. – in today’s report, but there is a niche section of office space benefiting from robust demand drivers.  Historically, we referred to this group as Medical Office Buildings […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2024

MOBs: Office but No Need for Life Support | November 2024

Historically, following periods of rising interest rates, REITs have outperformed the S&P 500 over the subsequent 90-, 180-, and 365-day periods as shown in Figure 1 below.  We discussed this phenomenon in great detail in our May 2024 REIT Outlook titled An Interesting Time to Invest in REITs.  From its May 1st release through September […]

REIT Outlook

October 1, 2024

Assessing the Impact of Mortgage Rates on REITs | October 2024

Commercial real estate fills many roles in society and, arguably, none is more essential than feeding the population.  The first thought might be grocery stores, but today’s report dives deeper into the extensive infrastructure and logistics existing between food producers and consumers.  Not only are frozen food sales growing rapidly (estimated 5% compound annual growth […]

REIT Outlook

September 1, 2024

Essential Business Spotlight: Cold Storage | September 2024

Originally created in 1960, the REIT structure’s purpose was to democratize real estate for the masses.  In addition to managing properties, reporting and complying with SEC requirements, and paying dividends from cash flow, they also employ finance, investment, development, and strategic personnel to make decisions that can grow value beyond a steady state portfolio.  In […]

REIT Outlook

August 1, 2024

The ‘X’ Factor for REITs | August 2024

Quarter to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +1.8% gross of fees and +1.6% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +0.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -0.3% gross of […]

REIT Commentary

July 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Second Quarter 2024

One of the most important jobs of REIT executives and Boards of Directors is capital allocation.  Depending on cost of capital, acquisition and development yields, and the point in the real estate cycle, a public REIT will have to employ different capital allocation strategies.  One of the forgotten and often purposely swept-under-the-rug line items is […]

REIT Outlook

April 1, 2024

The Time is REIT Now | April 2024

In March 2024, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of +2.0%.  The Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of +1.7% both gross and net of fees.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of […]

REIT Commentary

April 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | First Quarter 2024

2023 could be described as nothing short of a rollercoaster, as shown in Figure 1.  Our 2023 total return forecast of +8% to +12% ended up being too low relative to the actual calendar year total return of +13.7%, in spite of mid-year prices on the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ) falling to levels […]

REIT Outlook

January 1, 2024

2024 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2024

In December 2023, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of +9.9%.  The Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of +7.0% both gross and net of fees.  For the full year of 2023, the Chilton REIT Composite outperformed the RMZ by producing a total […]

REIT Commentary

January 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | December 2023

In November 2023, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of +10.4%. The Chilton REIT Composite outperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of +11.2% both gross and net of fees. Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of […]

REIT Commentary

December 1, 2023

REIT Commentary | November 2023

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