For any readers fortunate enough to avoid the constant and conflicting barrage of headlines in April, uncertainty is up and stocks are down.  The prospect of a trade war is impacting business and consumer confidence, and, more importantly, general uncertainty is further fanning the flames.  In our view, this environment has elevated volatility, which creates […]

REIT Outlook

May 1, 2025

REITs Can Hold the Line in a Tariff War | May 2025

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On the two-year anniversary of one our most read REIT outlooks, ‘Arbitrage Opportunity Available in Public REITs’, we will be revisiting some of the predictions and observations on non-traded REITs versus public REITs from April 2023.  To summarize the April 2023 REIT Outlook, we warned investors that the ‘mark to magic’ (what we call the […]

REIT Outlook

April 1, 2025

Turning Up the Heat on BREIT | April 2025

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Demographic shifts have long influenced REIT performance, often acting as early indicators of real estate demand.  In 2025, key demographic trends – including an aging population, migration shifts, affordability constraints, and income disparities – are shaping sector allocations and investment strategies as they have for years.  However, while demographics provide valuable context, we recognize that […]

REIT Outlook

March 1, 2025

Demographic Trends Shaping REIT Portfolio Construction | March 2025

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From January to November, 2024’s REIT market went largely as predicted in the 2024 Chilton REIT Forecast, a welcome feat in the fast-paced modern world, especially given some of the unexpected exogenous economic and political events.  Our forecast of +12% to +16% was higher than any sell-side forecast we saw, and we appreciate the confidence […]

REIT Outlook

January 1, 2025

2025 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2025

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In the fourth quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -7.5% gross of fees and -7.7% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of -6.1%.  For full year 2024, the Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +7.5% gross […]

REIT Commentary

January 1, 2025

REIT Commentary | Fourth Quarter 2024

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We recently attended the annual REITWorld conference, where we conducted 33 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended two organized dinners, three property tours, and a run around the Las Vegas strip with a REIT management team to maximize our time in Las Vegas with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) […]

REIT Outlook

December 1, 2024

Property Type Round-Up from REITWorld 2024 | December 2024

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No area of real estate has been under more pressure than the office sector.  We won’t belabor the headwinds – flexible work, tech downsizing, debt maturities, etc. – in today’s report, but there is a niche section of office space benefiting from robust demand drivers.  Historically, we referred to this group as Medical Office Buildings […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2024

MOBs: Office but No Need for Life Support | November 2024

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In the third quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +17.4% gross of fees and +17.2% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +16.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +16.5% gross […]

REIT Commentary

October 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Third Quarter 2024

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We recently attended the annual REITWeek conference, where we conducted 36 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended four organized dinners, one property tour, and a run around Central Park with a REIT management team to maximize our time in New York City with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) a […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2024

Equity REITs: Takeaways from REITWeek 2024 | July 2024

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Quarter to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +1.8% gross of fees and +1.6% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +0.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -0.3% gross of […]

REIT Commentary

July 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Second Quarter 2024

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