We recently attended the annual REITWorld conference, where we conducted 33 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended two organized dinners, three property tours, and a run around the Las Vegas strip with a REIT management team to maximize our time in Las Vegas with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) […]

REIT Outlook

December 1, 2024

Property Type Round-Up from REITWorld 2024 | December 2024

No area of real estate has been under more pressure than the office sector.  We won’t belabor the headwinds – flexible work, tech downsizing, debt maturities, etc. – in today’s report, but there is a niche section of office space benefiting from robust demand drivers.  Historically, we referred to this group as Medical Office Buildings […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2024

MOBs: Office but No Need for Life Support | November 2024

In the third quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +17.4% gross of fees and +17.2% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +16.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +16.5% gross […]

REIT Commentary

October 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Third Quarter 2024

We recently attended the annual REITWeek conference, where we conducted 36 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended four organized dinners, one property tour, and a run around Central Park with a REIT management team to maximize our time in New York City with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) a […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2024

Equity REITs: Takeaways from REITWeek 2024 | July 2024

Quarter to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +1.8% gross of fees and +1.6% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +0.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -0.3% gross of […]

REIT Commentary

July 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Second Quarter 2024

In recent history, e-commerce can be argued as the biggest societal shift to impact commercial real estate.  We’ve detailed the topic in retail outlooks from November 2022 and November 2021, and more recently in our Industrial Outlook from March 2024.  Many expected the surge in online shopping during the pandemic to supercharge the “death of […]

REIT Outlook

June 3, 2024

Retail REITs: Near Term Capex Caution Despite Strong Fundamentals | June 2024

Unfortunately for REIT investors, REIT prices have yet to decouple from movements in long term interest rates – and rates are rising again in 2024 as of April 30.  Because real estate typically generates a steady (and growing) yield, there has historically been a playbook that REIT prices should trade down when rates are rising, […]

REIT Outlook

May 1, 2024

An Interesting Time to Invest in REITs | May 2024

One of the most important jobs of REIT executives and Boards of Directors is capital allocation.  Depending on cost of capital, acquisition and development yields, and the point in the real estate cycle, a public REIT will have to employ different capital allocation strategies.  One of the forgotten and often purposely swept-under-the-rug line items is […]

REIT Outlook

April 1, 2024

The Time is REIT Now | April 2024

In March 2024, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of +2.0%.  The Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of +1.7% both gross and net of fees.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of […]

REIT Commentary

April 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | First Quarter 2024

2023 could be described as nothing short of a rollercoaster, as shown in Figure 1.  Our 2023 total return forecast of +8% to +12% ended up being too low relative to the actual calendar year total return of +13.7%, in spite of mid-year prices on the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ) falling to levels […]

REIT Outlook

January 1, 2024

2024 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2024

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