AI’s rapid evolution is producing substantial productivity gains, and we fully expect gains to continue.  The expectation for exponential growth into perpetuity is driving volatility across the broader market, but, more importantly, we are seeing the early stages of a rotation into HALO asset classes (Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence, introduced by Josh Brown on CNBC).  […]

We published on the office sector two years ago and, following an over 50% pullback between March 2022 and May 2023, contemplated a potential bottom for public office REITs.  The bottom arrived several months later (Figure 1); however, that datapoint only scratches the surface of the office saga.  In our opinion, the real story lies […]

We recently attended the annual REITWorld conference, where we conducted 33 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended two organized dinners, three property tours, and a run around the Las Vegas strip with a REIT management team to maximize our time in Las Vegas with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) […]

It’s no secret the office sector faces extreme stress due to the surge in remote work.  Though there was some progress on return to office (RTO) last fall, technology tenants reversed a multi-year leasing spree while financing risks only added fuel to the decline in 2023.  As a result of the pandemic’s ‘forced experiment’ with […]