Demographic shifts have long influenced REIT performance, often acting as early indicators of real estate demand.  In 2025, key demographic trends – including an aging population, migration shifts, affordability constraints, and income disparities – are shaping sector allocations and investment strategies as they have for years.  However, while demographics provide valuable context, we recognize that […]

REIT Outlook

March 1, 2025

Demographic Trends Shaping REIT Portfolio Construction | March 2025

From January to November, 2024’s REIT market went largely as predicted in the 2024 Chilton REIT Forecast, a welcome feat in the fast-paced modern world, especially given some of the unexpected exogenous economic and political events.  Our forecast of +12% to +16% was higher than any sell-side forecast we saw, and we appreciate the confidence […]

REIT Outlook

January 1, 2025

2025 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2025

In the fourth quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -7.5% gross of fees and -7.7% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of -6.1%.  For full year 2024, the Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +7.5% gross […]

REIT Commentary

January 1, 2025

REIT Commentary | Fourth Quarter 2024

We recently attended the annual REITWorld conference, where we conducted 33 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended two organized dinners, three property tours, and a run around the Las Vegas strip with a REIT management team to maximize our time in Las Vegas with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) […]

REIT Outlook

December 1, 2024

Property Type Round-Up from REITWorld 2024 | December 2024

No area of real estate has been under more pressure than the office sector.  We won’t belabor the headwinds – flexible work, tech downsizing, debt maturities, etc. – in today’s report, but there is a niche section of office space benefiting from robust demand drivers.  Historically, we referred to this group as Medical Office Buildings […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2024

MOBs: Office but No Need for Life Support | November 2024

In the third quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +17.4% gross of fees and +17.2% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +16.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +16.5% gross […]

REIT Commentary

October 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Third Quarter 2024

We recently attended the annual REITWeek conference, where we conducted 36 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended four organized dinners, one property tour, and a run around Central Park with a REIT management team to maximize our time in New York City with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) a […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2024

Equity REITs: Takeaways from REITWeek 2024 | July 2024

Quarter to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +1.8% gross of fees and +1.6% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +0.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -0.3% gross of […]

REIT Commentary

July 1, 2024

REIT Commentary | Second Quarter 2024

In recent history, e-commerce can be argued as the biggest societal shift to impact commercial real estate.  We’ve detailed the topic in retail outlooks from November 2022 and November 2021, and more recently in our Industrial Outlook from March 2024.  Many expected the surge in online shopping during the pandemic to supercharge the “death of […]

REIT Outlook

June 3, 2024

Retail REITs: Near Term Capex Caution Despite Strong Fundamentals | June 2024

Unfortunately for REIT investors, REIT prices have yet to decouple from movements in long term interest rates – and rates are rising again in 2024 as of April 30.  Because real estate typically generates a steady (and growing) yield, there has historically been a playbook that REIT prices should trade down when rates are rising, […]

REIT Outlook

May 1, 2024

An Interesting Time to Invest in REITs | May 2024

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