2023 could be described as nothing short of a rollercoaster, as shown in Figure 1.  Our 2023 total return forecast of +8% to +12% ended up being too low relative to the actual calendar year total return of +13.7%, in spite of mid-year prices on the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ) falling to levels […]

REIT Outlook

January 1, 2024

2024 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2024

In November 2023, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of +10.4%. The Chilton REIT Composite outperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of +11.2% both gross and net of fees. Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of […]

REIT Commentary

December 1, 2023

REIT Commentary | November 2023

We recently embarked on a three-day expedition to Los Angeles for the annual REITWorld conference.  We conducted 29 meetings, including 10 exclusive one-on-one sessions with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  Additionally, we attended two property tours organized by companies with properties in the area, for which we were able to not only meet with the CEOs […]

REIT Outlook

December 1, 2023

Property Type Round-Up from REITWorld | December 2023

Public REIT pricing has declined in a steep fashion over the past 22 months.  Although this is not the first time they have had a significant pullback, it is quite rare, as shown in Figure 1.  As recently as March 2020, the drawdown in the FTSE NAREIT All Equity REITs Index (Bloomberg: FNER)* was nearly […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2023

Public REITs: Are We There Yet? | November 2023

Although healthcare was thrown for a loop during the pandemic, Senior Housing (SH) is experiencing some of the strongest fundamentals we have seen in a long time.  Rebounding occupancy, stronger rental rates, and moderating labor headwinds are generating double digit Net Operating Income (NOI) growth.  Occupancy is still below prior peaks, but we believe demographic […]

REIT Outlook

October 1, 2023

Senior Housing REITs: The Cure for Rising Rates | October 2023

The Chilton REIT Team recently embarked on a three-day journey to New York City, braving the haze of Canadian wildfire smoke that engulfed the air in early June.  This expedition was fueled by a multitude of management meetings and property tours, all in conjunction with the highly significant REITWeek annual conference, hosted by NAREIT.  For […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2023

Equity REITs: Takeaways from NAREIT REITWeek 2023 | July 2023

Every facet of the real estate industry was upended by Covid-19 and ensuing lockdowns, but arguably no industry saw a more material impact than travel and lodging.  We sold the entirety of our lodging exposure during March of 2020 (going from ~5% in early 2020 to 0% by the end of March) as we anticipated […]

REIT Outlook

March 1, 2023

Lodging REITs: Valuations Already Reflect Improvements | March 2023

Though the elevator pitch for data centers due to their vital role as the backbone of the internet seems like ‘easy money’, investing in this sector has many more elements to consider other than ‘data creation is growing exponentially’.  Yes, the demand for data storage has been a major growth story for ten years, but […]

REIT Outlook

February 1, 2023

Positive Data for Data Centers | February 2023

Although the change in public REIT equity prices over the past 12 months would not suggest it, 2022 actually saw earnings growth arrive above our initial expectations.  Specifically, occupancy continued its positive trajectory, leading to further upward pressure on rents across nearly every property type.  Additionally, the inflationary pressures helped to slow new construction, creating […]

REIT Outlook

January 3, 2023

2023 Chilton REIT Forecast | January 2023

The Chilton REIT Team descended upon San Francisco in mid-November for a packed three days of meetings with management and property tours.  The annual REITWorld conference is extremely important for us to catch up in person with the CEOs and CFOs of our portfolio companies, ramp up on potential new ideas, connect with peers, and […]

REIT Outlook

December 1, 2022

Property Type Round-Up from REIT World | December 2022

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