In the early 1990s, the Modern REIT Era commenced due to the abundance of overleveraged private real estate companies with no path to new equity other than to ‘sell’ shares to the public at a price below their perceived value.  To quote Chilton REIT Strategy founder Bruce Garrison, “they had to decide whether they wanted […]

REIT Outlook

April 1, 2026

The Cost of Staying Public in a Discounted REIT Market | April 2026

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In the fourth quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite performed in line with the RMZ by producing a total return of -1.6% gross of fees and -1.7% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of -1.7%.  For the full year of 2025, the Chilton REIT Composite also performed relatively in line with the […]

REIT Commentary

January 1, 2026

REIT Commentary | Fourth Quarter 2025

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While underlying fundamentals are improving across most property types, REITs (measured by the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ)) underperformed the S&P 500 for the fourth straight year in 2025.  With technology stealing headlines due to the incredible potential of AI, investor interest in public REITs continues to languish, ignoring what we view as an […]

REIT Outlook

January 1, 2026

2026 Chilton REIT Forecast: A Golden Opportunity | January 2026

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After we discussed triple net REITs in our June 2021 REIT Outlook, rising interest rates turned spread math into a moving target.  From 2022 to 2024, higher weighted average cost of capital (or WACC), a slower transaction environment, and shifting acquisition cap rates made value creation difficult to underwrite.  In 2025, the pieces are finally […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2025

Triple Net REITs: Becoming Constructive on Stable Spreads | November 2025

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Almost fifteen years ago, we debuted the Chilton REIT Outlook in July 2011 titled ‘The Role of REITs’ with the goal of informing clients and prospects about the benefits of adding REITs to their portfolios.  Many of the attractive attributes of REITs remain today, but the investment landscape is vastly different.  Ultimately, the MSCI US […]

REIT Outlook

October 1, 2025

Tipping Point: The New Diversified Portfolio Needs REITs | October 2025

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For many investors in the past decade, e-commerce growth relegated brick and mortar retail to an un-investable world on a gradual death march.  Some viewed the “COVID” e-commerce surge of 2020-21 as the “nail in the coffin”; instead, it proved the essential nature of physical locations in an omnichannel world.  Indeed, Target (NYSE: TGT) touts […]

REIT Outlook

September 1, 2025

Shopping Center REITs: Undervalued Despite Growth Ramp | September 2025

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In the second quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite performed in line with the RMZ by producing a total return of -1.0% gross of fees and -1.2% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of -1.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of […]

REIT Commentary

July 1, 2025

REIT Commentary | Second Quarter 2025

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We recently attended the annual REITWeek conference, where we conducted 31 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended two organized dinners, one property tour, and even went for a run through Central Park with a REIT management team to maximize our time in New York City with REIT executives. – Similar to last […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2025

Equity REITs: Takeaways from REITWeek 2025 | July 2025

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We published on the office sector two years ago and, following an over 50% pullback between March 2022 and May 2023, contemplated a potential bottom for public office REITs.  The bottom arrived several months later (Figure 1); however, that datapoint only scratches the surface of the office saga.  In our opinion, the real story lies […]

REIT Outlook

June 1, 2025

Public REITs Are Positioned for Trophy Office Upside | June 2025

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In the first quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +3.9% gross of fees and +3.7% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +1.1%.  Additionally, the Chilton REIT Composite outperformed the Vanguard Real Estate Index (VNQ), our secondary benchmark, that produced a total […]

REIT Commentary

April 1, 2025

REIT Commentary | First Quarter 2025

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