It has been two years since we introduced the Chilton Global Real Estate Strategy in the October 2019 Chilton REIT Outlook.  We are proud that the initial concept of a three-pronged approach to alpha production has worked well, and we believe this process will be repeatable going forward.  As of September 28, 2021, the Chilton […]

In September, the MSCI US REIT Index (RMZ) produced a total return of -5.5%. The Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the benchmark for the month by producing a total return of -6.1%, gross and net of fees. In the third quarter, the RMZ produced a total return of +1.0%, which compared to the Chilton REIT Composite […]

Healthcare has been squarely in the spotlight since the beginning of the COVID pandemic in February 2020, and rightly so.  While the world may have yet to agree upon an answer for how to properly address or prevent a pandemic, the past 18 months have solidified healthcare as an essential sector of the economy, as […]

As of July 31, 2021, the MSCI REIT Index has produced a year-to-date total return of +27.7%, which compares to our 2021 forecast of +13% to +19%.  While the actual return exceeds our expectations, we also believe this is not the time to reduce exposure to publicly traded equity REITs.  Since our initial forecast was […]

As we wrote in March 2021, we believed the rotation from growth to value (or COVID to Vaccine) REITs had created a buying opportunity for high quality companies with long term growth potential, such as cell tower REITs.  For example, from November 6, 2020 to March 1, 2021, the average performance for the lodging, regional […]

Unlike most REIT sectors that refer to the real estate’s use or property type, the net lease subsector is the only one that refers to a specific lease structure, which can be used in multiple property types. In a net lease structure, the responsibility to pay certain expenses is shifted from the landlord to the […]

Inflation refers to an economic scenario in which the price of a basket of goods increases, which means the currency is worth less than it was previously.  Economic studies have determined that some inflation is necessary to encourage investment, spending, and borrowing. The alternative scenario, called ‘deflation’, is just the opposite; cash and fixed income […]

In what we hope was the last virtual Citi REIT CEO Conference, we met with 16 REIT management teams directly and participated in approximately another 20 virtual meetings to discuss the current business fundamentals and what the post-COVID world may look like. In general, the tone at the conference was extremely positive, even for some […]

As we mentioned in the 2021 Chilton REIT Forecast, the rotation from the ‘COVID’ REITs (i.e. Cell Towers, Data Centers, Industrial) to the ‘Vaccine’ REITs (i.e. Regional Malls, Shopping Centers, Coastal Apartments, Lodging, Coastal Office) after the November 9 Pfizer announcement has been nothing short of extraordinary. While the increase in price over the past […]

After a 40 year decline in interest rates to record lows, both for corporate and government bonds, fixed income investors can pop the champagne and celebrate the gains and income they have received. Coupled with the strong S&P 500 performance in the past few years, traditional 60% equity / 40% fixed income (or ‘60/40’) portfolios […]