No area of real estate has been under more pressure than the office sector.  We won’t belabor the headwinds – flexible work, tech downsizing, debt maturities, etc. – in today’s report, but there is a niche section of office space benefiting from robust demand drivers.  Historically, we referred to this group as Medical Office Buildings […]

Despite a few brief unsettled periods in August and September, the S&P 500 moved 5.9% higher in the third quarter of 2024, closing at an all-time high of 5,762 and bringing its very solid year-to-date gain to 22.1%.  While the job market softened somewhat, inflation growth continued to slow, positive GDP growth persisted, and the […]

In the third quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +17.4% gross of fees and +17.2% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +16.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +16.5% gross […]

Historically, following periods of rising interest rates, REITs have outperformed the S&P 500 over the subsequent 90-, 180-, and 365-day periods as shown in Figure 1 below.  We discussed this phenomenon in great detail in our May 2024 REIT Outlook titled An Interesting Time to Invest in REITs.  From its May 1st release through September […]

Commercial real estate fills many roles in society and, arguably, none is more essential than feeding the population.  The first thought might be grocery stores, but today’s report dives deeper into the extensive infrastructure and logistics existing between food producers and consumers.  Not only are frozen food sales growing rapidly (estimated 5% compound annual growth […]

Originally created in 1960, the REIT structure’s purpose was to democratize real estate for the masses.  In addition to managing properties, reporting and complying with SEC requirements, and paying dividends from cash flow, they also employ finance, investment, development, and strategic personnel to make decisions that can grow value beyond a steady state portfolio.  In […]

After pulling back in April, the S&P 500 continued to surprise market forecasters by moving 4.3% higher in the second quarter, closing just below a record high and bringing its first half gain to a very solid 15.3%.  While the labor market began to soften late in the quarter, the overall economy remains decent, inflation […]

We recently attended the annual REITWeek conference, where we conducted 36 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended four organized dinners, one property tour, and a run around Central Park with a REIT management team to maximize our time in New York City with REIT executives. – The key themes were: 1) a […]

Quarter to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has outperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +1.8% gross of fees and +1.6% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +0.1%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of -0.3% gross of […]

In recent history, e-commerce can be argued as the biggest societal shift to impact commercial real estate.  We’ve detailed the topic in retail outlooks from November 2022 and November 2021, and more recently in our Industrial Outlook from March 2024.  Many expected the surge in online shopping during the pandemic to supercharge the “death of […]