Following returns of over 25% in 2023 and 2024, the S&P 500 delivered another robust gain in 2025, rising 17.9%.  This gain was quite remarkable considering the “tariff tantrum” in April that nearly led to a bear market, as well as fourth quarter concerns over Federal Reserve policy, the longest government shutdown in history, and […]

In the fourth quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite performed in line with the RMZ by producing a total return of -1.6% gross of fees and -1.7% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of -1.7%.  For the full year of 2025, the Chilton REIT Composite also performed relatively in line with the […]

While underlying fundamentals are improving across most property types, REITs (measured by the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ)) underperformed the S&P 500 for the fourth straight year in 2025.  With technology stealing headlines due to the incredible potential of AI, investor interest in public REITs continues to languish, ignoring what we view as an […]

Seniors Housing (SH) REITs are on a historic run.  Typically, average SSNOI (same store net operating income) growth is 3-4% for all REITs.  In contrast, Welltower (NYSE: WELL), the largest SH owner, is on track for its fourth consecutive year above 20%, and Ventas (NYSE: VTR) is pacing for four years well into double digits. […]

After we discussed triple net REITs in our June 2021 REIT Outlook, rising interest rates turned spread math into a moving target.  From 2022 to 2024, higher weighted average cost of capital (or WACC), a slower transaction environment, and shifting acquisition cap rates made value creation difficult to underwrite.  In 2025, the pieces are finally […]

The S&P 500 marched higher in the third quarter as continued improvement in the corporate earnings outlook, fading trade policy concerns, a robust AI-driven capex cycle, and the resumption of the Federal Reserve’s rate cutting cycle drove the index to its best quarter of 2025.  Mega-cap growth stocks again led the market to new all-time […]

In the third quarter, the Chilton REIT Composite underperformed the RMZ by producing a total return of +2.3% gross of fees and +2.1% net of fees, which compares to the RMZ’s total return of +4.8%.  Year to date, the Chilton REIT Composite has performed in line with the RMZ by producing a total return of […]

Almost fifteen years ago, we debuted the Chilton REIT Outlook in July 2011 titled ‘The Role of REITs’ with the goal of informing clients and prospects about the benefits of adding REITs to their portfolios.  Many of the attractive attributes of REITs remain today, but the investment landscape is vastly different.  Ultimately, the MSCI US […]

For many investors in the past decade, e-commerce growth relegated brick and mortar retail to an un-investable world on a gradual death march.  Some viewed the “COVID” e-commerce surge of 2020-21 as the “nail in the coffin”; instead, it proved the essential nature of physical locations in an omnichannel world.  Indeed, Target (NYSE: TGT) touts […]

There’s little question that artificial intelligence (AI) has created more wealth in the past five years than any other industry.  The poster child for this secular growth trend is Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), which has grown its revenues by over 5x in the 5 years ending December 2024, driving its share price up by a factor […]