The office sector, particularly in the public REIT universe, boasts some of the best-looking buildings among all property types.  Called ‘trophy properties’, they are excellent material for press coverage, property tours, and annual report covers; however, they do not always translate into superior long-term total returns.  Case and point: the completion of a new ‘tallest […]

REIT Outlook

November 1, 2018

Office REITs: The Sector to Rent, Not to Own

Since we published our March 2018 REIT Outlook titled, “Equity REITs at Bargain Prices: An Asymmetric Opportunity,” on March 1, the FTSE NAREIT Equity REIT Index (Bloomberg: FNRE) has produced a total return of +14.1% through September 24.  This compares to +8.8% for the S&P 500 (Bloomberg: SPX) over the same period.   Interestingly, the 10 […]

REIT Outlook

October 1, 2018

REITs and Rates: The Trade That Works Until It Doesn’t

US REITs are better known for being an inflation hedge, but investors often overlook their proven ability to hedge against international trade and currency risks.  As of August 31, President Donald Trump has slapped nearly $30 billion of tariffs on $120 billion of US imported goods, and he has threatened an additional $170 billion of […]

REIT Outlook

September 1, 2018

REITs Are a Natural Hedge Against Trade Risk

Self storage is a niche property type within commercial real estate. Self storage demand benefits from all aspects of life—in good times due to home renovations, new jobs/relocation, and summertime storage between college semesters, but also during difficult times such as dealing with a divorce, the passing of a family member, and job dislocation.  The […]

REIT Outlook

August 1, 2018

Self Storage: Peak New Supply, Peak Valuation?

The Chilton REIT Team recently attended the NAREIT REITWeek conference in New York City, where we met with over 50 REIT management teams in a one-on-one or small group setting. The conference was especially important this year due to the significant discounts to Net Asset Value (or NAV) at which many of them were trading. […]

REIT Outlook

July 1, 2018

REITWeek Review

We have long considered the cell tower business model as one of the most attractive, boasting consistent cash flow growth with low maintenance capital expenditures.  As such, the cell tower REITs, consisting of Crown Castle (NYSE: CCI), American Tower (NYSE: AMT), and SBA Communications (NASDAQ: SBAC), produced average annualized total returns of 15% from 2007 to 2017, which compared to […]

REIT Outlook

June 1, 2018

Cell Towers: Mission Critical for the Future

Since President Trump was elected on November 9, 2016, the lodging REIT sector (Bloomberg: BBREHOTL Index) has outperformed the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMS G) by over 2,350 basis points (bps) through April 16, 2018. The strong stock performance has likely been in anticipation of the pro-growth and pro-business agenda that President Trump’s election […]

REIT Outlook

May 1, 2018

Lodging REITs: Poised to Outperform

When we last discussed the healthcare REIT sector in our May 2014 Outlook, the sector was riding high.  Citi had it consistently trading at a large premium to its net asset value (or NAV) since early 2009.  Our recommendation that investors avoid the sector was a bold call, but it has been a key driver […]

REIT Outlook

April 2, 2018

Negative Prognosis for Healthcare REITs

A ‘correction’ is defined as a decline of 10% or more from a recent high. As of February 23, 2018, the MSCI US REIT Total Return Index (Bloomberg: RMS G) was trading 11% below its recent high on December 18, 2017. Some pundits assert that a correction can be healthy for a rising market, as […]

REIT Outlook

March 1, 2018

Equity REITs at Bargain Prices: An Asymmetric Opportunity

Single-family rental homes (or SFRs) have historically been dominated by local “mom and pop” investors considering they own 99% of the 16 million rental homes in the United States. In fact, until the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09, institutions avoided the asset class due to the lack of available scale and relatively high prices. By […]

REIT Outlook

February 2, 2018

Single-Family REITs: Consolidating a Fragmented Industry

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