In June, 2022, we published ‘The Private Equity Put’, essentially urging all public REIT teams to consider going private at valuations that now most companies would only dream of getting.  Unfortunately, soon after that piece was published, the financing environment changed dramatically for private real estate players.  – While the tombstones may have different names […]

Every facet of the real estate industry was upended by Covid-19 and ensuing lockdowns, but arguably no industry saw a more material impact than travel and lodging.  We sold the entirety of our lodging exposure during March of 2020 (going from ~5% in early 2020 to 0% by the end of March) as we anticipated […]

Though the elevator pitch for data centers due to their vital role as the backbone of the internet seems like ‘easy money’, investing in this sector has many more elements to consider other than ‘data creation is growing exponentially’.  Yes, the demand for data storage has been a major growth story for ten years, but […]

Although the change in public REIT equity prices over the past 12 months would not suggest it, 2022 actually saw earnings growth arrive above our initial expectations.  Specifically, occupancy continued its positive trajectory, leading to further upward pressure on rents across nearly every property type.  Additionally, the inflationary pressures helped to slow new construction, creating […]

The Chilton REIT Team descended upon San Francisco in mid-November for a packed three days of meetings with management and property tours.  The annual REITWorld conference is extremely important for us to catch up in person with the CEOs and CFOs of our portfolio companies, ramp up on potential new ideas, connect with peers, and […]

For much of the last decade, pundits have been calling for the death of brick and mortar retail.  Rather than a supposed death knell, the last few years – marked by continued e-commerce growth, changing consumer behavior, and supply chain constraints – proved out the benefit of retailers offering customers multiple channels and highlighted the […]

The hottest topic of 2022 that everyone can relate to or has had their own personal experience with has undoubtedly been inflation.  In August 2022, inflation prices were 8.3% higher compared to a year before according to the Consumer Price Index report.  While slower than the prior month when inflation climbed 8.5%, it’s still uncomfortably […]

Over the past 40 years, due in part to actions by the Federal Reserve, Americans have become more and more obsessed with yield.  Highlighted in Figure 1, after peaking at 15.8% in September 1981, the US 10 yr Treasury yield bottomed at 0.5% in August 2020.  As intended, the lower ‘risk-free rate’ increased demand for […]

The dominant force in the markets this year has been uncertainty.  Uncertainty around interest rates, inflation, and a myriad of other factors have driven investors into overdrive to figure out the playbook for changing times.  REITs have not been spared from the market turbulence, but we see the long term value proposition for REITs at […]

After meeting with over 25 companies in New York for the first in-person NAREIT sponsored conference since November 2019, we came away extremely positive on the fundamentals for REITs.  Across the board, leasing, occupancy, and rent growth are tracking at or above expectations, and the recent increase in interest rates has already slowed new construction, […]