After we discussed triple net REITs in our June 2021 REIT Outlook, rising interest rates turned spread math into a moving target.  From 2022 to 2024, higher weighted average cost of capital (or WACC), a slower transaction environment, and shifting acquisition cap rates made value creation difficult to underwrite.  In 2025, the pieces are finally […]

Almost fifteen years ago, we debuted the Chilton REIT Outlook in July 2011 titled ‘The Role of REITs’ with the goal of informing clients and prospects about the benefits of adding REITs to their portfolios.  Many of the attractive attributes of REITs remain today, but the investment landscape is vastly different.  Ultimately, the MSCI US […]

For many investors in the past decade, e-commerce growth relegated brick and mortar retail to an un-investable world on a gradual death march.  Some viewed the “COVID” e-commerce surge of 2020-21 as the “nail in the coffin”; instead, it proved the essential nature of physical locations in an omnichannel world.  Indeed, Target (NYSE: TGT) touts […]

There’s little question that artificial intelligence (AI) has created more wealth in the past five years than any other industry.  The poster child for this secular growth trend is Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), which has grown its revenues by over 5x in the 5 years ending December 2024, driving its share price up by a factor […]

We recently attended the annual REITWeek conference, where we conducted 31 meetings with REIT CEOs and CFOs.  We also attended two organized dinners, one property tour, and even went for a run through Central Park with a REIT management team to maximize our time in New York City with REIT executives. – Similar to last […]

We published on the office sector two years ago and, following an over 50% pullback between March 2022 and May 2023, contemplated a potential bottom for public office REITs.  The bottom arrived several months later (Figure 1); however, that datapoint only scratches the surface of the office saga.  In our opinion, the real story lies […]

For any readers fortunate enough to avoid the constant and conflicting barrage of headlines in April, uncertainty is up and stocks are down.  The prospect of a trade war is impacting business and consumer confidence, and, more importantly, general uncertainty is further fanning the flames.  In our view, this environment has elevated volatility, which creates […]

On the two-year anniversary of one our most read REIT outlooks, ‘Arbitrage Opportunity Available in Public REITs’, we will be revisiting some of the predictions and observations on non-traded REITs versus public REITs from April 2023.  To summarize the April 2023 REIT Outlook, we warned investors that the ‘mark to magic’ (what we call the […]

Demographic shifts have long influenced REIT performance, often acting as early indicators of real estate demand.  In 2025, key demographic trends – including an aging population, migration shifts, affordability constraints, and income disparities – are shaping sector allocations and investment strategies as they have for years.  However, while demographics provide valuable context, we recognize that […]

In December 2024, the Chilton REIT Strategy celebrated its 20th year since being founded by Bruce Garrison in January 2005.  Over this period, the strategy produced an annualized total return of +9.3% gross of fees (+8.5% net of fees), which compared to the MSCI US REIT Index (Bloomberg: RMZ) at +7.0% and the Vanguard Real […]